WEKO3
アイテム
日本における食中毒発生の傾向分析
https://doi.org/10.24514/00002648
https://doi.org/10.24514/00002648ae2ca6d7-237c-4861-b01b-e4dfe98db8a8
| 名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
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nfri_report_No66p1-8p.pdf (785.3 kB)
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| Item type | 紀要論文01 / Departmental Bulletin Original Article(1) | |||||||||||
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| 公開日 | 2019-12-20 | |||||||||||
| タイトル | ||||||||||||
| タイトル | 日本における食中毒発生の傾向分析 | |||||||||||
| タイトル | ||||||||||||
| タイトル | The Analysis of Secular Changes of Food Poisoning in Japan through the Empirical Bayes Smoothing Method | |||||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||||
| 言語 | ||||||||||||
| 言語 | jpn | |||||||||||
| 資源タイプ | ||||||||||||
| 資源タイプ識別子 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 | |||||||||||
| 資源タイプ | departmental bulletin paper | |||||||||||
| ID登録 | ||||||||||||
| ID登録 | 10.24514/00002648 | |||||||||||
| ID登録タイプ | JaLC | |||||||||||
| 著者 |
柳本, 正勝
× 柳本, 正勝
WEKO
6799
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| 抄録 | ||||||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||||||||
| 内容記述 | The secular changes of food poisoning in Japan were analyzed by the empirical Bayes' smoothing method, using the data compiled in the 1968 to 1998 editions of the Annual Report, "Statistics of Food Poisoning JAPAN." The empirical Bayes' smoothing method was introduced in our previous paper as a method to form a trend curve that flexibly fits to the data sets without any model function. The following attractive findings were obtained. 1) Three indexes of food poisoning, total number of incidents, total number of patients, and total number of deaths, exhibited different trends. While total number of incidents has steeply increased in recent years, no change has been observed in total number of patients. Total number of deaths, which had formerly decreased steadily, has possibly tended to increase in recent years. 2) As the steep increase in total number of incidents in recent years does not truly reflect the overall trend, the number of patients was employed as the index for further analysis. 3) Bacteria are the maJor factor in pathogenic substances and have generally been increasing. Among them, Salmonella spp. and pathogenic Escherichia coli exhibited remarkable increases. 4) No increases were observed in particular foods categorized in causative food. However, the increase was noticed in the item of other. This suggests the necessity of reviewing items in causative food. 5) Among preparing facilities, restaurant and hotel have been increasing; home and business place, which had decreased until the 1980s, have also increased in recent years. | |||||||||||
| 抄録 | ||||||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||||||||
| 内容記述 | 食中毒発生の動向を的確に把握する目的で, 食中毒統計データを用いその経年変化を経験ベイズ型平滑化法で解析し, 以下の知見を得た。1. 事件数, 患者数, 死者数の3つの指標の総数を解析したところ, それぞれに異なった傾向を示した。事件数は近年激増, 患者数は変化が認められない, 死者数は急減から近年は増加気味となった。2. ただし, 事件数の近年の激増は全体の動向を反映したものとは言い難く, 内訳の解析には患者数を指標とするのが妥当である。3. 病因物質としては, 細菌が増加しており, 中でもサルモネラ属菌と病原性大腸菌が増加している。4. 原因食品は, 具体的な食品で増加している項目はなく, その他だけが増加した。項目の見直しの必要性が指摘できる。5. 原因施設では, 飲食店, 旅館が増加したが, 80年代までは減少した家庭, 事業所も, 近年は増加した | |||||||||||
| 書誌情報 |
食品総合研究所研究報告 en : Report of National Food Research Institute 巻 66, p. 1-8, 発行日 2002-03-01 |
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| 出版者 | ||||||||||||
| 出版者 | 農業・食品産業技術総合研究機構 | |||||||||||
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| 収録物識別子タイプ | ISSN | |||||||||||
| 収録物識別子 | 0301-9780 | |||||||||||
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| 関連タイプ | isIdenticalTo | |||||||||||
| 識別子タイプ | DOI | |||||||||||
| 関連識別子 | 10.24514/00002648 | |||||||||||
| 著者版フラグ | ||||||||||||
| 出版タイプ | VoR | |||||||||||
| 出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 | |||||||||||
