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経営主交代を考慮した農地利用予測手法 -新潟県頚城丘陵地域を事例として-
https://doi.org/10.24514/0002001287
https://doi.org/10.24514/0002001287fbc034bc-7216-4f00-80aa-a90958abc29f
名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
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(c) 国立研究開発法人 農業・食品産業技術総合研究機構
National Agriculture and Food Research Organization, Japan |
Item type | 紀要論文 / Departmental Bulletin Paper_03(1) | |||||||||||||
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公開日 | 2025-03-28 | |||||||||||||
タイトル | ||||||||||||||
タイトル | 経営主交代を考慮した農地利用予測手法 -新潟県頚城丘陵地域を事例として- | |||||||||||||
言語 | ja | |||||||||||||
タイトル | ||||||||||||||
タイトル | Agricultural Land Use Prediction Method which a Farm Manager Change was Worked into -Case study of Higasikubiki Hilly Areas in Niigata Prefecture- | |||||||||||||
言語 | en | |||||||||||||
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言語 | jpn | |||||||||||||
資源タイプ | ||||||||||||||
資源タイプ識別子 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 | |||||||||||||
資源タイプ | article | |||||||||||||
ID登録 | ||||||||||||||
ID登録 | 10.24514/0002001287 | |||||||||||||
ID登録タイプ | JaLC | |||||||||||||
著者 |
遠藤, 和子
× 遠藤, 和子
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抄録 | ||||||||||||||
内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||||||||||
内容記述 | I reported about the agricultural land use prediction method of the area which hold marginal farmlands in this paper. The agricultural land use is decreasing from the restriction of the agricultural labor force remarkably in Japan. it is expected to proceed more from now on. It is very helpful to know how much the agricultural land use will decrease in the future for making the master plan of the cities. In this paper, author assumed that the agricultural land use is prescribed by farm operator’s retirement and successor’s behavior . Then, the microsimulation method to handle the behavior of each subject was decided to be applied. Various setups are necessary to apply this method in this case study. For example, it considered how a farm operator change to the successor occurred by using the census data, and the process of the change was cleared. Moreover, the relations of the cultivated acreage with the agricultural labor force were estimated from the multiple regression model, and these relations were grasped quantitatively. Then, when a change appeared in the agricultural labor force, the flow of the simulation that the agricultural land use area changes in accordance with this model was made. The prediction for twenty years which made a case area the target was done by using the above setup. Consequently, the agricultural land use got the result that it decreased at 50%-60 % of the high rates. |
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言語 | en | |||||||||||||
bibliographic_information |
ja : 農村工学研究所技報 en : Technical report of the National Institute for Rural Engineering 巻 206, p. 119-128, 発行日 2007-03-31 |
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出版者 | ||||||||||||||
出版者 | 独立行政法人農業食品産業技術総合研究機構農村工学研究所 | |||||||||||||
言語 | ja | |||||||||||||
出版者 | ||||||||||||||
出版者 | National Agriculture and Food Research Organization, National Institute for Rural Engineering | |||||||||||||
言語 | en | |||||||||||||
item_12_source_id_9 | ||||||||||||||
収録物識別子タイプ | PISSN | |||||||||||||
収録物識別子 | 1882-3289 |